Economic Modeling in the Post-COVID Era ... - Action Forex

The Division Economy: The Forex model

I know this has been brought up before, but I'd like to bring it yet again to the forefront. The economy in game needs some tweaks. Everyone has their own interpretations of what needs, and not need, to be done. Simply put, the economies (since there are three separate currencies) need to be connected and exchangeable.
My thoughts are to treat it like forex trading, allowing for PxC, DZ, and reg. credits to be traded for one another at a given/fluctuating rate. Having the three separate currencies is actually brilliant in my eyes, but it is equally trumped by the ignorance of not allowing for any conversion or open market trading.
Ideally what I would love to see is the ability to trade on the open market with other players anonymously. If I am sitting on 2 million regular credits, why can't I offer them up at a marketplace to trade for DZ credits or PxC? There is certainly other players out there sitting on tons of the other two currencies, or all, and willing to trade.
If an open market with players is not plausible, at the very least allow us a flat conversion rate for PxC > Credits, PxC > DZ Credits, Credits > DZ Credits
Having separate economies without allowing interaction between them just seems absurd. Make it entirely anonymous and live trades so one player cannot put an item out for trade at 1 credit then charge real life cash.
Thoughts?
EDIT: Expanding upon the idea more, there have been tons of weapons/gear that I deconstruct or sell when I wish I could give/sell it to a buddy who hasn't come online yet or wasn't in my group when it dropped. Allowing for gear to be sold to other players for any of the three currencies, anonymously of course, would add another dimension to the economies; now you have goods flowing as well.
submitted by VeoDigital to thedivision [link] [comments]

Bridgewater Associates: Modeling Ray Dalio’s Modeling – Alphacution Research Conservatory

fintech #trading #algotrading #quantitative #quant #quants #hft ##markets #hedgefunds #fx #forex

Modeling Ray Dalio’s Modeling – Alphacution Research Conservatory “Treat your life like a game.” – Ray Dalio
Before we get to the overview of our recent modeling of famed hedge fund leader, Bridgewater Associates and its founder, Ray Dalio, we need to set the stage for why this particular profiling is so important. It starts with what we have been calling personal alpha… Personal Alpha Ray Dalio is a singular phenomenon in the modern financial world. For starters, he’s performed the feat of building the world’s largest hedge fund (with $160 billion AUM as of latest count) and delivering “stellar gains” in its flagship Pure Alpha fund of 14.6% for 2018 while most others struggled. In Alphacution’s asset management ecosystem map, Bridgewater defines the boundary between active and passive management zones due its role as the largest hedge fund.
But more than stretching AUM boundaries and strong performance, Ray Dalio is a singular phenomenon because he has built an amazing busin.....
Continue reading at: http://alphacution.com/bridgewater-associates-modeling-ray-dalios-modeling/
submitted by silahian to quant_hft [link] [comments]

Bridgewater Associates: Modeling Ray Dalio’s Modeling – Alphacution Research Conservatory

fintech #trading #algotrading #quantitative #quant #quants #hft ##markets #hedgefunds #fx #forex

Modeling Ray Dalio’s Modeling – Alphacution Research Conservatory“Treat your life like a game.” – Ray DalioBefore we get to the overview of our recent modeling of famed hedge fund leader, Bridgewater Associates and its founder, Ray Dalio, we need to set the stage for why this particular profiling is so important. It starts with what we have been calling personal alpha…Personal AlphaRay Dalio is a singular phenomenon in the modern financial world. For starters, he’s performed the feat of building the world’s largest hedge fund (with $160 billion AUM as of latest count) and delivering “stellar gains” in its flagship Pure Alpha fund of 14.6% for 2018 while most others struggled. In Alphacution’s asset management ecosystem map, Bridgewater defines the boundary between active and passive management zones due its role as the largest hedge fund.But more than stretching AUM boundaries and strong performance, Ray Dalio is a singular phenomenon because he has built an amazing business culture, a..... Continue reading at: http://alphacution.com/bridgewater-associates-modeling-ray-dalios-modeling/
submitted by silahian to quant_hft [link] [comments]

Forex Trading System: OHLC data or Order Book data to train models?

I am trying to do some prelim research on writing a trading system for forex. Trying to understand what type of data should I train models on? The question is that trades are basically set on asks and bids, wouldn't the model be more accurate with order book data?
Also looking for recommendations for Forex data platforms API along with a broker that supports API order creation.
submitted by vikas-sharma to algotrading [link] [comments]

http://twitter.com/forex_in_world/status/1305433402540163074Chart Art: Model and Fluctuate Setups on USD/CHF and EUR/AUD https://t.co/NmtyVsjhJk#forexsignals #forextrading #donaldtrump— FOREX IN WORLD (@forex_in_world) September 14, 2020

http://twitter.com/forex_in_world/status/1305433402540163074Chart Art: Model and Fluctuate Setups on USD/CHF and EUAUD https://t.co/NmtyVsjhJk#forexsignals #forextrading #donaldtrump— FOREX IN WORLD (@forex_in_world) September 14, 2020 submitted by Red-its to forextweet [link] [comments]

FOREX Binomial Model Problem

Im going through this problem which involves a binomial model where we assume that 1$ trades for 1/Euro (E).

In the model: we have 1$/E , it has a 50% chance of becoming 1.25$/E and a 50% chance of becoming 0.8$/E , the expected value turns out to be 1.025$, 1$ = 0.9756E

Similarly you could make a model for the Euro: 1E/$ has a a 50% chance to be worth 0.8E/$ and 50% chance of becoming 1.25E/$ , the expected value is also 1.025E, hence 1E = 0.9756$

Can someone explain to me what's happening and how to solve this problem on how much should the expected value actually be?
submitted by kdbm27 to learnmath [link] [comments]

Modeling in forex

Very new to forex:
Are there modeling techniques similar to discounted cash flow that traders can use to value currencies against each other?
Thank you in advance
submitted by boston101 to Forex [link] [comments]

[Changelog] - 2/5/2019 - Portfolio Upgrades, WebSocket API Beta, and an Easter Egg

The Cryptowatch team has traveled from across the globe (galaxy?) to come to the ski slopes of an undisclosed location to put together this release for you.

Portfolio Upgrades

We've added a quote currency selector to the portfolio, so you can see your balance in whatever currency you prefer. Our personal favorite, you ask? The IDR, of course. It makes us look the best!

WebSocket API Beta

Our WebSocket API for streaming live prices from all markets on Cryptowat.ch is now live in beta. A few select partners have hammered on it for a few weeks - and you could be next. If you shoot an email to [[email protected]](mailto:[email protected]) with your Cryptowatch username, we can get you set up with access to the beta. Cryptowatch accounts are now free, so go ahead and create one if you haven't yet!

Kraken WebSocket API Launched

Kraken recently launched their streaming WebSocket API, which Cryptowatch now uses to populate Kraken markets. You'll notice much snappier data on all Kraken markets, and we'll soon have deeper order books for Kraken as a result.

New Themes

To match with the new Kraken branding, we've released two new themes to Cryptowatch: Kraken Dark (New) and Kraken Light (New). Check them out in the settings menu on the home page and any chart page.

PGP Keys

Cryptowat.ch has always had a passion and respect for the right of our clients to privacy and security. As we begin to send more emails and communications to clients, you'll occasionally see a "signature.asc" file attached to your emails from us: if you use an email client that supports PGP signatures, like ProtonMail or Thunderbird with Enigmail, you can import our PGP keys to validate the authenticity of our emails to you.

From Pairs to Instruments

While you won't notice any changes to the user interface as a result of this update, it marks a major moment in our ability to support advanced financial products. Currently, Cryptowat.ch (and most services in the crypto space) are built around a "currency exchange" (forex) model of trading one asset for another - a "base" for a "quote". With the changes we are making, we can now support financial products like futures, swaps, options, loans, and more. We cannot promise any of these will be added - but we are working towards a structure that will allow us to do so in the future, should we choose to do so!

QuadrigaCX Disabled

Due to recent tragedies around the QuadrigaCX exchange, we've disabled all of their markets.

Easter Egg

Look out on our Twitter for something interesting coming later this week. It has to do with pairs to instruments, as well as Kraken's acquisition of futures and indices provider Crypto Facilities.

Want to trade across all your exchanges on the fastest market data in crypto? Sign up for a free Cryptowatch account here.
submitted by kraken-evan to cryptowatch [link] [comments]

http://twitter.com/forex_in_world/status/1283195352804360194Bitcoin and Altcoins Model Diagnosis: Support in Consolidation https://t.co/BuEOPHztYg— FOREX IN WORLD (@forex_in_world) July 15, 2020

http://twitter.com/forex_in_world/status/1283195352804360194Bitcoin and Altcoins Model Diagnosis: Support in Consolidation https://t.co/BuEOPHztYg— FOREX IN WORLD (@forex_in_world) July 15, 2020 submitted by Red-its to forextweet [link] [comments]

http://twitter.com/forex_in_world/status/1282379976155832320HLHB Model-Catcher Map Replace (July 6 – 10) https://t.co/sxTjGshKHp— FOREX IN WORLD (@forex_in_world) July 12, 2020

http://twitter.com/forex_in_world/status/1282379976155832320HLHB Model-Catcher Map Replace (July 6 – 10) https://t.co/sxTjGshKHp— FOREX IN WORLD (@forex_in_world) July 12, 2020 submitted by Red-its to forextweet [link] [comments]

http://twitter.com/forex_in_world/status/1277819861780049920AUD/USD Model Evaluation: Consolidates restoration gains below 0.6900 after RBA’s Debelle https://t.co/oW2LNnyUcW— FOREX IN WORLD (@forex_in_world) June 30, 2020

http://twitter.com/forex_in_world/status/1277819861780049920AUD/USD Model Evaluation: Consolidates restoration gains below 0.6900 after RBA’s Debelle https://t.co/oW2LNnyUcW— FOREX IN WORLD (@forex_in_world) June 30, 2020 submitted by Red-its to forextweet [link] [comments]

Using VaR (Value at Risk) to size my trades??

So I have a VaR calculation on my forex model. I just added it and I'm not sure how to utilize it. I'm using four hour candle stick data, and I have a 4 hour 95% var, and a daily 95% var output.
How can I use that info to best size my trades? Let's say my forex account has $20k in it, and my 4 hour var is $30, and my daily var is $80. What does that say about my risk? Am I using enough? Not enough? What should the ratio be?
submitted by samtheman509 to Forex [link] [comments]

How to utilize VaR (Value at risk) to determine lot size??

So I have a VaR calculation on my forex model. I just added it and I'm not sure how to utilize it. I'm using four hour candle stick data, and I have a 4 hour 95% var, and a daily 95% var output.
How can I use that info to best size my trades? Let's say my forex account has $20k in it, and my 4 hour var is $30, and my daily var is $80. What does that say about my risk? Am I using enough? Not enough? What should the ratio be?
submitted by samtheman509 to Trading [link] [comments]

Is margin trading possible in a deflationary, fixed supply currency?

So I think its fair to assume that most people who own bitcoins believe that it will go to the moon or to zero. They usually are hoping for the moon with the exception of those who short bitcoin..
Given this assumption it makes sense that for a percentage of people who have gambled on moon or zero it is not a huge jump to increase risk by margin trading, (borrowing bitcoins from exchanges to increase their gains). Instead of moon vs zero they now will end up with margin x moon or zero. Their risk of zero however is increased because if there is a big drop they can get margin called and they lose all their coins, sometimes way above zero. So its risky but a certain percentage of holders will inevitably do this.
As unregulated exchanges, my second assumption is to say that exchanges very likely don't have the coins that they lent out for margin. They just follow the forex model and create imaginary money. Yes they balance opposing margin trades against each other but if assumption one is correct, they have more longs than shorts and must have to take big gambles.
I'd like to talk about just the moon scenario and ignore the bust scenario not to say that either is more likely in my mind, just the zero scenario is similar with or without margin trading.
So as our moon scenario progresses, all these longs, with borrowed bitcoins, start to create a sell pressure either to convert to cash, or to withdraw their coins from the exchanges to wallets they actually control. So as price goes up, is it not inevitable that we see delayed withdrawals and exchanges using tactics to cover their liquidity problems, a classic bank run. Perhaps its no surprise that this happened to the worlds biggest Bitcoin margin permitting exchange last time there was an all time high...
Would you guys say that its best to avoid exchanges that facilitate margin trading? Are such exchanges forced to gamble against bitcoins rise? Will such exchanges inevitably collapse if and when a price rise happens?
submitted by thederpill to Bitcoin [link] [comments]

What is Trading Slippage & Modelling Strategy Execution Without the Full Tick Data Stream #fintech #trading #algotrading #quantitative #quant #fx #spot #forex #hft

submitted by silahian to quant_hft [link] [comments]

List of 70+ Udemy and Some Best Discounted

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submitted by ViralMedia007 to FREECoursesEveryday [link] [comments]

What is the business model for these damn instagram pyramid scheme people? The ones where they post a photo of their expensive car and ask people to sign up to, usually forex trading or google ads. Are they actually successful investors or do they rent the cars and make money from the scheme?

submitted by BartholomewBibulus to NoStupidQuestions [link] [comments]

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submitted by ViralMedia007 to FREECoursesEveryday [link] [comments]

first weeks learning. I have some question, please?

Hello: I´m from Portugal. In the past 2 months i start to study information about Forex.
I´ve been developing a model that looks quite promising. But i would like to get help in some questions, if you plase;
1) Is there anybody here from Portugal? If so, which broker do you use? Are they a Market Maker ?
2) Metatrader seems to block sometimes my laptop. So what are the alternatives? CTradeRr?
3) A more technical question:
I came from SportBetting. In Sporting Betting position size is fundamental. I´ve noticed that risk management with Forex is a lot based on stop loss order.
But i´m a believer in bankroll management, so i want to test all possibilities .
An example:
I have 2000 Euros. My model says to apply 8% of my bankroll. Would this be just a simple conversion to lot size? And if so, does it really make sense, since you are gonna apply a stop loss?
Thank you guys.
submitted by dexterlikesAI to Forex [link] [comments]

Former investment bank FX trader: some thoughts

Former investment bank FX trader: some thoughts
Hi guys,
I have been using reddit for years in my personal life (not trading!) and wanted to give something back in an area where i am an expert.
I worked at an investment bank for seven years and joined them as a graduate FX trader so have lots of professional experience, by which i mean I was trained and paid by a big institution to trade on their behalf. This is very different to being a full-time home trader, although that is not to discredit those guys, who can accumulate a good amount of experience/wisdom through self learning.
When I get time I'm going to write a mid-length posts on each topic for you guys along the lines of how i was trained. I guess there would be 15-20 topics in total so about 50-60 posts. Feel free to comment or ask questions.
The first topic is Risk Management and we'll cover it in three parts
Part I
  • Why it matters
  • Position sizing
  • Kelly
  • Using stops sensibly
  • Picking a clear level

Why it matters

The first rule of making money through trading is to ensure you do not lose money. Look at any serious hedge fund’s website and they’ll talk about their first priority being “preservation of investor capital.”
You have to keep it before you grow it.
Strangely, if you look at retail trading websites, for every one article on risk management there are probably fifty on trade selection. This is completely the wrong way around.
The great news is that this stuff is pretty simple and process-driven. Anyone can learn and follow best practices.
Seriously, avoiding mistakes is one of the most important things: there's not some holy grail system for finding winning trades, rather a routine and fairly boring set of processes that ensure that you are profitable, despite having plenty of losing trades alongside the winners.

Capital and position sizing

The first thing you have to know is how much capital you are working with. Let’s say you have $100,000 deposited. This is your maximum trading capital. Your trading capital is not the leveraged amount. It is the amount of money you have deposited and can withdraw or lose.
Position sizing is what ensures that a losing streak does not take you out of the market.
A rule of thumb is that one should risk no more than 2% of one’s account balance on an individual trade and no more than 8% of one’s account balance on a specific theme. We’ll look at why that’s a rule of thumb later. For now let’s just accept those numbers and look at examples.
So we have $100,000 in our account. And we wish to buy EURUSD. We should therefore not be risking more than 2% which $2,000.
We look at a technical chart and decide to leave a stop below the monthly low, which is 55 pips below market. We’ll come back to this in a bit. So what should our position size be?
We go to the calculator page, select Position Size and enter our details. There are many such calculators online - just google "Pip calculator".

https://preview.redd.it/y38zb666e5h51.jpg?width=1200&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=26e4fe569dc5c1f43ce4c746230c49b138691d14
So the appropriate size is a buy position of 363,636 EURUSD. If it reaches our stop level we know we’ll lose precisely $2,000 or 2% of our capital.
You should be using this calculator (or something similar) on every single trade so that you know your risk.
Now imagine that we have similar bets on EURJPY and EURGBP, which have also broken above moving averages. Clearly this EUR-momentum is a theme. If it works all three bets are likely to pay off. But if it goes wrong we are likely to lose on all three at once. We are going to look at this concept of correlation in more detail later.
The total amount of risk in our portfolio - if all of the trades on this EUR-momentum theme were to hit their stops - should not exceed $8,000 or 8% of total capital. This allows us to go big on themes we like without going bust when the theme does not work.
As we’ll see later, many traders only win on 40-60% of trades. So you have to accept losing trades will be common and ensure you size trades so they cannot ruin you.
Similarly, like poker players, we should risk more on trades we feel confident about and less on trades that seem less compelling. However, this should always be subject to overall position sizing constraints.
For example before you put on each trade you might rate the strength of your conviction in the trade and allocate a position size accordingly:

https://preview.redd.it/q2ea6rgae5h51.png?width=1200&format=png&auto=webp&s=4332cb8d0bbbc3d8db972c1f28e8189105393e5b
To keep yourself disciplined you should try to ensure that no more than one in twenty trades are graded exceptional and allocated 5% of account balance risk. It really should be a rare moment when all the stars align for you.
Notice that the nice thing about dealing in percentages is that it scales. Say you start out with $100,000 but end the year up 50% at $150,000. Now a 1% bet will risk $1,500 rather than $1,000. That makes sense as your capital has grown.
It is extremely common for retail accounts to blow-up by making only 4-5 losing trades because they are leveraged at 50:1 and have taken on far too large a position, relative to their account balance.
Consider that GBPUSD tends to move 1% each day. If you have an account balance of $10k then it would be crazy to take a position of $500k (50:1 leveraged). A 1% move on $500k is $5k.
Two perfectly regular down days in a row — or a single day’s move of 2% — and you will receive a margin call from the broker, have the account closed out, and have lost all your money.
Do not let this happen to you. Use position sizing discipline to protect yourself.

Kelly Criterion

If you’re wondering - why “about 2%” per trade? - that’s a fair question. Why not 0.5% or 10% or any other number?
The Kelly Criterion is a formula that was adapted for use in casinos. If you know the odds of winning and the expected pay-off, it tells you how much you should bet in each round.
This is harder than it sounds. Let’s say you could bet on a weighted coin flip, where it lands on heads 60% of the time and tails 40% of the time. The payout is $2 per $1 bet.
Well, absolutely you should bet. The odds are in your favour. But if you have, say, $100 it is less obvious how much you should bet to avoid ruin.
Say you bet $50, the odds that it could land on tails twice in a row are 16%. You could easily be out after the first two flips.
Equally, betting $1 is not going to maximise your advantage. The odds are 60/40 in your favour so only betting $1 is likely too conservative. The Kelly Criterion is a formula that produces the long-run optimal bet size, given the odds.
Applying the formula to forex trading looks like this:
Position size % = Winning trade % - ( (1- Winning trade %) / Risk-reward ratio
If you have recorded hundreds of trades in your journal - see next chapter - you can calculate what this outputs for you specifically.
If you don't have hundreds of trades then let’s assume some realistic defaults of Winning trade % being 30% and Risk-reward ratio being 3. The 3 implies your TP is 3x the distance of your stop from entry e.g. 300 pips take profit and 100 pips stop loss.
So that’s 0.3 - (1 - 0.3) / 3 = 6.6%.
Hold on a second. 6.6% of your account probably feels like a LOT to risk per trade.This is the main observation people have on Kelly: whilst it may optimise the long-run results it doesn’t take into account the pain of drawdowns. It is better thought of as the rational maximum limit. You needn’t go right up to the limit!
With a 30% winning trade ratio, the odds of you losing on four trades in a row is nearly one in four. That would result in a drawdown of nearly a quarter of your starting account balance. Could you really stomach that and put on the fifth trade, cool as ice? Most of us could not.
Accordingly people tend to reduce the bet size. For example, let’s say you know you would feel emotionally affected by losing 25% of your account.
Well, the simplest way is to divide the Kelly output by four. You have effectively hidden 75% of your account balance from Kelly and it is now optimised to avoid a total wipeout of just the 25% it can see.
This gives 6.6% / 4 = 1.65%. Of course different trading approaches and different risk appetites will provide different optimal bet sizes but as a rule of thumb something between 1-2% is appropriate for the style and risk appetite of most retail traders.
Incidentally be very wary of systems or traders who claim high winning trade % like 80%. Invariably these don’t pass a basic sense-check:
  • How many live trades have you done? Often they’ll have done only a handful of real trades and the rest are simulated backtests, which are overfitted. The model will soon die.
  • What is your risk-reward ratio on each trade? If you have a take profit $3 away and a stop loss $100 away, of course most trades will be winners. You will not be making money, however! In general most traders should trade smaller position sizes and less frequently than they do. If you are going to bias one way or the other, far better to start off too small.

How to use stop losses sensibly

Stop losses have a bad reputation amongst the retail community but are absolutely essential to risk management. No serious discretionary trader can operate without them.
A stop loss is a resting order, left with the broker, to automatically close your position if it reaches a certain price. For a recap on the various order types visit this chapter.
The valid concern with stop losses is that disreputable brokers look for a concentration of stops and then, when the market is close, whipsaw the price through the stop levels so that the clients ‘stop out’ and sell to the broker at a low rate before the market naturally comes back higher. This is referred to as ‘stop hunting’.
This would be extremely immoral behaviour and the way to guard against it is to use a highly reputable top-tier broker in a well regulated region such as the UK.
Why are stop losses so important? Well, there is no other way to manage risk with certainty.
You should always have a pre-determined stop loss before you put on a trade. Not having one is a recipe for disaster: you will find yourself emotionally attached to the trade as it goes against you and it will be extremely hard to cut the loss. This is a well known behavioural bias that we’ll explore in a later chapter.
Learning to take a loss and move on rationally is a key lesson for new traders.
A common mistake is to think of the market as a personal nemesis. The market, of course, is totally impersonal; it doesn’t care whether you make money or not.
Bruce Kovner, founder of the hedge fund Caxton Associates
There is an old saying amongst bank traders which is “losers average losers”.
It is tempting, having bought EURUSD and seeing it go lower, to buy more. Your average price will improve if you keep buying as it goes lower. If it was cheap before it must be a bargain now, right? Wrong.
Where does that end? Always have a pre-determined cut-off point which limits your risk. A level where you know the reason for the trade was proved ‘wrong’ ... and stick to it strictly. If you trade using discretion, use stops.

Picking a clear level

Where you leave your stop loss is key.
Typically traders will leave them at big technical levels such as recent highs or lows. For example if EURUSD is trading at 1.1250 and the recent month’s low is 1.1205 then leaving it just below at 1.1200 seems sensible.

If you were going long, just below the double bottom support zone seems like a sensible area to leave a stop
You want to give it a bit of breathing room as we know support zones often get challenged before the price rallies. This is because lots of traders identify the same zones. You won’t be the only one selling around 1.1200.
The “weak hands” who leave their sell stop order at exactly the level are likely to get taken out as the market tests the support. Those who leave it ten or fifteen pips below the level have more breathing room and will survive a quick test of the level before a resumed run-up.
Your timeframe and trading style clearly play a part. Here’s a candlestick chart (one candle is one day) for GBPUSD.

https://preview.redd.it/moyngdy4f5h51.png?width=1200&format=png&auto=webp&s=91af88da00dd3a09e202880d8029b0ddf04fb802
If you are putting on a trend-following trade you expect to hold for weeks then you need to have a stop loss that can withstand the daily noise. Look at the downtrend on the chart. There were plenty of days in which the price rallied 60 pips or more during the wider downtrend.
So having a really tight stop of, say, 25 pips that gets chopped up in noisy short-term moves is not going to work for this kind of trade. You need to use a wider stop and take a smaller position size, determined by the stop level.
There are several tools you can use to help you estimate what is a safe distance and we’ll look at those in the next section.
There are of course exceptions. For example, if you are doing range-break style trading you might have a really tight stop, set just below the previous range high.

https://preview.redd.it/ygy0tko7f5h51.png?width=1200&format=png&auto=webp&s=34af49da61c911befdc0db26af66f6c313556c81
Clearly then where you set stops will depend on your trading style as well as your holding horizons and the volatility of each instrument.
Here are some guidelines that can help:
  1. Use technical analysis to pick important levels (support, resistance, previous high/lows, moving averages etc.) as these provide clear exit and entry points on a trade.
  2. Ensure that the stop gives your trade enough room to breathe and reflects your timeframe and typical volatility of each pair. See next section.
  3. Always pick your stop level first. Then use a calculator to determine the appropriate lot size for the position, based on the % of your account balance you wish to risk on the trade.
So far we have talked about price-based stops. There is another sort which is more of a fundamental stop, used alongside - not instead of - price stops. If either breaks you’re out.
For example if you stop understanding why a product is going up or down and your fundamental thesis has been confirmed wrong, get out. For example, if you are long because you think the central bank is turning hawkish and AUDUSD is going to play catch up with rates … then you hear dovish noises from the central bank and the bond yields retrace lower and back in line with the currency - close your AUDUSD position. You already know your thesis was wrong. No need to give away more money to the market.

Coming up in part II

EDIT: part II here
Letting stops breathe
When to change a stop
Entering and exiting winning positions
Risk:reward ratios
Risk-adjusted returns

Coming up in part III

Squeezes and other risks
Market positioning
Bet correlation
Crap trades, timeouts and monthly limits

***
Disclaimer:This content is not investment advice and you should not place any reliance on it. The views expressed are the author's own and should not be attributed to any other person, including their employer.
submitted by getmrmarket to Forex [link] [comments]

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4Hour Vegas Model MetaTrader 4 Forex Indicator - Download MT4

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Forex Edge Model  Mike W - Forex Edge Model - YouTube Double your Forex account in 1 trade using the Excel model ... Forex Super Model Market Analysis - GBP Complex in Play ... Forex Edge Model Review - No Bonus - What is The Forex Edge Model? Forex Super Model - YouTube Forex Super Model Daily Market Analysis - JPY to Weaken ... Forex Edge Model  I Would Not Recommend Forex Edge Model ... How to Trade the Forex Super Model - Part 1: Is that you ...

Executive Summary The great disruption caused by COVID-19 has led to historic levels of economic volatility. As COVID-19 spread across the world, entire countries went into lockdown in an ... Executive Summary As discussed in Part I of this series, the fundamental ambiguity of the current virus-driven crisis has brought a host of new challenges for economic modeling. Record volatility ... LECTURE 9: A MODEL FOR FOREIGN EXCHANGE 1. Foreign Exchange Contracts There was a time, not so long ago, when a U. S. dollar would buy you precisely .4 British pounds We have already seen the explanation of the 4 major economic theories that exist within the Forex market. These theories were labeled as follows: 1. Balance of Payments 2. Interest Rate Parity 3. International Fisher Effect 4. Purchasing Power Parity Additionally, there are three secondary theories, but they have been labeled as models rather than theories, though they originate from economic ... We all know that the modeling quality for testing Expert Advisors (especially scalpers and pipsters) plays a big role. By default, in MetaTrader 4, it is still not possible to achieve modeling quality above 90%. Very often this is not enough for accurate testing. So how to get 99.0% modeling quality in MetaTrader4? Forex forecasting Basic Forex forecast methods: Technical analysis and fundamental analysis This article provides insight into the two major methods of analysis used to forecast the behavior of the Forex market. Technical analysis and fundamental analysis differ greatly, but both can be useful forecast tools for the Forex trader. They have the same goal - to predict a price or movement. The ... How Forex Trading Is Different . Theoretically, forex rates are said to move due to two fundamental concepts – interest rate parity and purchasing power parity.Significant differences between ... Modeling Movements in Oil, Gold, Forex and Market Indices using Search Volume Index and Twitter Sentiments Tushar Rao Netaji Subhas Institute of Technology Delhi, India [email protected] Saket Srivastava IIITD Delhi, India [email protected] ABSTRACT Study of the forecasting models using large scale microblog discussions and the search behavior data can provide a good insight for better ... November 7, 2020 Forex, Trading, Stock [SUPER HOT]Warrior Trading – Warrior Pro Trading 2020 Warrior Trading – Warrior Pro Trading 2020 Original Price: $5,997.00 You Just Pay: $199.95 (One Time – 93% OFF) Author: Thank you for downloading “6 Simple Strategies for Trading Forex”. This book is designed for beginning, intermediate and advanced traders. The presenters in this book are leading experts in trading the Forex market. As a bonus, you will also be exposed to a chapter on Trading Psychology and how to trade Forex pairs on the Nadex exchange. As you read this book, you will be exposed to ...

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Forex Edge Model Mike W - Forex Edge Model - YouTube

The Forex Super Model is a unique approach to trading the markets which aims to catch large moves in a way that is fun, stress free and profitable. A model b... NEWEST VIDEO MUST WATCH: "+1000 Forex traders prove that direction is NOT important when entering Forex trades ️ Manage them!" https://www.youtube.com/watch... How to Trade the Forex Super Model - Part 1: Is that you? - Thanks for watching! Contact: [email protected] What is the 'Forex Super Model'?: The For... http://bit.ly/JknI5l Check out Forex Edge Model Here. Doesn't it make you mad that you've been losing money for weeks now while others doubled, tripled their... http://newhopefinancialsolutions.com Forex Edge Model Mike W - Forex Edge Model In this video I will introduce you to a new affiliate marketing program tha... Forex Super Model Daily Market Analysis - Equity Driving JPY Higher - Friday 13/11/2020 - Thanks for watching! Contact: [email protected] What is the... Forex Edge Model - Can you make money with it? http://ItsYourPaydayToday.com - FREE to make money online. Be careful before you spend money on Forex Edge Mod... Forex Super Model Daily Market Analysis - JPY to Weaken again - Tuesday 10/11/2020 - Thanks for watching! Contact: [email protected] What is the 'For... Forex Super Model Market Analysis - GBP Complex in Play - Monday 09/11/2020 - Thanks for watching! Contact: [email protected] What is the 'Forex Supe...

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